As explained in the course outline, you are
required
to complete one project during the semester. A project is a 4-6 page
paper
that explores an application of mathematics to a practical everyday sort
of problem. It must be typed neatly with perfect spelling and grammar,
fully
documented, well organized, and detailed in explanations and
conclusions.
It should contain any graphs, diagrams, figures, or data that are needed
for a full exposition.
The project must have a cover page showing the title and authors.
It must have an introduction that explains the problem and gives
relevant background information. The main body should explain in
detail the procedures used to solve the problem and present interesting
observations that you made. The conclusion must give a concise
summary
of your results and give possibilities for future work on the problem.
The
project must include at least three references (books, papers
from
the literature, or web sources).
You may work in groups of no more than two people; everyone in a group
gets
the same grade. An outline and bibliography for the project is due no
later than October 23 and the final project is due no later than November 23.
How do you find a project topic? You may (i) choose a topic from the
list
below, (ii) choose a project from the end-of-unit problems in the book,
or (iii) work on a topic of your own choice with instructor approval.
You should get started on your project as soon as possible and
consult
me whenever necessary.
The following project ideas are meant to be only starting points.
You should go beyond the given suggestions by posing related questions,
carrying out interesting experiments, and extending the stated
questions.
Supporting units from the text are also given below.
1. Lotteries. Discuss how your state lottery works. Here
are
some of the questions that you might address. On average how many people
play each week and how much do they spend? What are the theoretical
chances
of winning the grand prize and the smaller prizes? Do the theoretical
chances
agree closely with the observed number of winners? Do the theoretical
chances
agree closely with the advertised chances? Exactly how are the funds
raised
by the lottery distributed (for example, prize money, operating
expenses,
public uses)? Is there an annuity vs. lump sum option for the grand
prize
winner? What are the advantages and disadvantages of each option? (Unit
8B)
2. Sports Records. Choose a timed athletic event for which
you can find both men's and women's records for at least 30 years (for
example,
running or swimming events). Present the data in graphical form. Carry
out
a linear regression on both the men's and women's data sets, either
exactly
or visually. Based on the linear model, what do you predict the men's
and
women's records will be in the year 2030? How reliable is the linear
model?
Would a different type of model be more accurate? Do you predict that
the
women's record for your particular event will surpass the men's record
at
some point in time? Is there a particular event in which it is likely
that
the women's record will eventually surpass the men's record? (Unit
9B)
3. The Golden Ratio and the Arts. Investigate the golden ratio as
it appears in either the visual arts (architecture and painting) or
music.
Explain the golden ratio and the golden rectangle, and discuss their
history.
Give examples (both your own and those you have read about) of apparent
uses of the golden ratio and the golden rectangle, and give your opinion
about whether these uses are designed or coincidental. Cite at least one
reference that debunks theories of the golden ratio and the arts. (Unit
10C)
4. Pollution in Denver. If you have lived in Denver for a few
years,
you probably know that the city is constantly at risk of violating
federal
air quality standards (particularly in the winter). What are the federal
air quality standards for several common pollutants? Why does Denver
have
an air quality problem? Give Denver's air quality record for at least
the
past ten years with respect to federal standards. Give an argument
either
for or against the statement: Denver's air quality has improved over
the past ten years. Be sure the take into account the fact that
federal
air quality standards may themselves have changed over the past ten
years.
What are the penalties for violating federal air quality standards?
(Unit
12C)
5. Analysis of a Statistical Study. Choose a very specific
statistical
study that has been recently published (for example, overhead power
lines
and the incidence of cancer or car phones and accident rates). Give a
thorough
analysis of the study based on the guidelines of Unit 2B.
6. Conducting a Statistical Study. Choose a very specific
issue that can be explored using a survey or statistical study. Carry
out
a statistical study that accounts for the issues discussed in Unit 2A
and
2B. Present your data, the analysis of your data, and your
conclusions.
7. Nielsen Ratings. The Nielsen Company has been conducting
ratings
of radio and TV programs since about 1920. Give some history of the
company
and its methods. Discuss how ratings are conducted today. Give examples
of the results of the ratings. Discuss issues of sampling, margins of
errors,
and confidence intervals. (Unit 2A, 2B)
8. Currency Exchanges. Make a table of currency exchange rates
for
at least ten different international currencies. First assume that
"buy
rates" and "sell rates" are equal. Is it possible to
actually
make money by buying and selling several different currencies in
succession
(that is, start with dollars, then convert to several other currencies,
and return to dollars)? Can you propose a general strategy that works
for
making money in such a way? Explore the problem in the case that
"buy
rates" and "sell rates" are not equal. (Unit 3A)
9. Reducing Class Size. Suppose that CU-Denver made the decision
to limit all class sizes to 25 students or less. Collect all necessary
facts
and data to determine the cost of such a proposal. Is it feasible? How
would
you present the proposal to the chancellor of the university?
10. Improving Recycling. Choose a specific community for which
you
can find data on garbage disposal and recycling. Estimate the total
garbage
production for this community (are you considering residential,
commercial,
or both?). What is the current rate of recycling in this community
(percent
of waste that is recycled)? Discuss what would be needed to attain a 50%
rate of recycling; a 75% recycling rate. Make a proposal for attaining
these
levels in the next ten years.
11. Retirement Planning. Suppose you are planning on retirement
at
age 65 and you want to begin investing now to be sure that you have a
comfortable
income. Specifically, suppose that you want an annual income of $50,000
every year after you turn 65. How much would you need to invest (i) as a
single lump sum and (ii) on a monthly basis beginning today to insure
this
retirement income. You will have to do some research about various forms
of investment and then choose real investment plans (mutual funds,
bonds,
or stocks). What assumptions have you made, particularly about interest
rates? Are there federal tax implications in this scheme? Experiment
with
the various parameters in this problem: What is the effect of changing
the
interest rates by plus or minus 1%? What is the effect of changing the
target
income to $60,000? What is the effect of delaying your investment by ten
years? (Unit 5B)
12. U.S. Census. As you know, the United States will conduct a
census
(as stipulated by the Constitution) in the year 2000. Give a brief
history
of the U.S. Census, it's methods, and its results. How accurate are the
traditional methods for the census? What are the issues associated with
Census 2000? Do you think that statistical methods should be used in
Census
2000? Compare the costs of various census methods. (Unit 4D)
13. Consumer Price Index. The federal government keeps track of
the
cost of living in this country by measuring the Consumer Price Index
(CPI).
Give a brief history of the CPI, including CPI data for at least the
last
30 years. Discuss the various indices within the CPI. What sampling
issues
arise in measuring the CPI. Discuss the claim: the CPI has been
increasing
exponentially for the last 30 years and is likely to continue doing so.
(Units 4D, 8B, 8C)
14. Voting Systems. Find at least three situations in which
voting
methods other than the plurality method is used (for example, Academy
Awards,
Heisman Trophy, other governments, United Nations). Give a thorough
explanation
of how the voting works in these situations. Give some history and
results
of the voting. Does the system seem fair to you in each case? (Unit 11D,
11E)
15. Income Distributions. Economists use Lorenz functions
to display the income distribution of a particular country. The function
gives the percentage of the population that earns a certain percentage
of
the wealth. Explain how Lorenz functions work and present the Lorenz
functions
for at least five different countries. Compare and contrast your
findings.
16. Bar Codes. How do bar codes work??